GA production in American died sometime in 1980 or 81.
https://legacy.trade.gov/td/otm/assets/aero/Shipments1971-2010.pdf
I can’t explain the spike from 1971-1981, but those kind of production numbers will never be seen again for piston aircraft.
Ooooh, data. I do love me some data.
So, I took the data for GA, divided out the per-unit cost, squeezed out a nice dollop of inflation data on top, and found something interesting.
It's hard to say what's the chicken and what's the egg here, but when corrected to 2019 dollars (pre-Covid so as to avoid the recent inflationary upheaval), in the 70s the unit prices were consistently in the mid-$300K range. Now, it was likely somewhat lower for trainers and higher for twins and turboprops, of course, but that's where things were.
Now, here's what the numbers and unit values looked like:
1973-1977: 13,646 to 16,904 units produced, unit cost between $333K and $370K in 2019 dollars
1978 (peak): 17,811 units, $392K each
1979: 17,048 units, $447K each
1980: 11,877 units, $652K each
1981: 9,457 units, $867K each
1982: 4,266 units, $1.23M each
1983: 2,691 units, $1.4M each
And, it has only gotten worse. The low point was 1994, with just 928 GA aircraft delivered. GARA helped that climb back to 2,802 by 2000. There's a noticeable bump in sales in 1998, the first full year Cessna was building singles again, then Cirrus got into the game in 1999 with the SR-20. There was a noticeable drop in the average unit price from $4.7M in 1997 to just under $4M in 1998, and it's mostly been climbing except for a few years in the mid-2000s, dropping to 3.847M in 2006 before skyrocketing as the economy crumbled and piston sales fell off again.
Unfortunately, the dollars aren't split by aircraft type anywhere that I'm aware of, only by manufacturer, so it's hard to get a good feel for how much of this is "airplanes got too expensive for people" vs. "people aren't buying singles so the average cost per unit has gone up." I'm still shocked at the numbers, though, which I've verified against GAMA data: In 2024, the average unit price of a new GA airplane is $8.452 Million!!! That's across 1,592 piston singles, 180 piston twins, 565 turboprop singles, 61 turboprop twins, and 764 bizjets, so 3,162 total airplanes. That means roughly half are SEP, yet while we know SEPs aren't cheap any more, the prices and sales of higher end stuff is bringing in enough money to drag that average up.
FWIW, here's the 2024 unit average for a few GA manufacturers:
Flight Design: $171,190
American Champion: $290,187
CubCrafters: $436,712
Diamond: $815,110 (252 total aircraft, 117 twins and 135 singles)
Cirrus: $1,402,439 (101 Vision jets and 630 pistons, 364 SR22T/145 SR22/121 SR20)
Piper: $1,410,263 (291 units: 203 piston singles consisting of 182 Archers and 21 M350s, 26 piston twins (all Seminoles), and 62 M-series SETPs)
Daher: $4,722,195 (all SETP, 26 Kodiaks and 56 TBMs)
Textron: $5,869,138 (559 total units: 279 piston singles (274 Cessnas and 5 Bonanzas), 2 G58 piston twins, 70 turboprop singles, 57 turboprop twins (44 Super King Air, 13 SkyCourier), and 151 Citations in 7 flavors)
Pilatus: $8,736,122 (96 PC-12 SETPs, 51 PC-24 jets)
Embraer: $15,753,461 (75 Phenoms, 55 Praetors)
Bombardier: $47,923,287
Dassault: $51,193,548
Gulfstream: $60,813,602
I see the word has caught on. Nice. For those not familiar, it was a term coined by Cory Doctorow when describing tech/internet customer capture, leading to product decay across the entire space. He actually goes into detail wrt encouraging the term be generalized in use, certainly in the way you used it, as it describes parallel macro mechanisms of decay and regulatory capture.
Of all the new words that have appeared in my lifetime, *********ication is the one that most easily captures its intended meaning. It's a damn fine word, and props to Cory Doctorow for coining it.