Does Mike Busch have this one right?

Discussion in 'Maintenance Bay' started by Ray Jr, Apr 24, 2021.

  1. Ray Jr

    Ray Jr Pre-takeoff checklist

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    In one of his books he says the cost to operate/maintain a piston airplane is about 3x the cost of the fuel per hour.

    So if you're burning 10 gal/hour, at $5 gallons, it would cost about $150/hour to fly and maintain the aircraft over time.

    100 hours in a year would cost $15,000 in fuel an maintenance.

    Does your experience come close to that?
     
  2. RyanB

    RyanB Super Administrator Management Council Member PoA Supporter

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    Yeah I’d say that’s pretty close to being accurate.

    I flew the Archer over 100hrs last year. When doing some rough calculations for fuel, hangar, maintenance and insurance, that number (3x the cost of fuel per hour) is right in the ballpark.
     
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  3. Stan Cooper

    Stan Cooper Pattern Altitude

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    That sounds about right if you pay labor rates for inspections and repairs. If your airplane is experimental and you have a repairman certificate, you can eliminate a lot of labor costs by doing maintenance and inspections yourself. Fuel and other consumables, insurance, property taxes, and hangar rent will be the same though.
     
  4. Eldorado

    Eldorado Pre-takeoff checklist

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    Sounds about right to me as well especially when you count hangar, engine TBO, and loss of capital. If you fly under 150 hrs/yr, cheaper to rent.
     
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  5. dfw11411

    dfw11411 Pre-Flight

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    I fly about 100 hours per year.

    Hangar = $5,400/yr = $54/flight hr
    Insurance = $4,200/yr = $42/flight hr
    Maintenance (annuals, etc) = $6,000/r = $60/flight hr
    Fuel = 16 gals/hr x $4/gal = $64/flight hr

    Total = $22,000/yr = $220/flight hr

    When I bought my Cherokee 6XT about 19 months ago, I budgeted $25,000 per year, or $250/hr. I read somewhere that the "real number" was about $300/hr. Turns out I estimated low on insurance, but fuel and maintenance have been less than expected. I have my A&P fix anything and everything, no deferred maintenance. I have also invested about $9,000 in upgrades since purchase. Fuel prices have varied from $3.25 to about $4.50 and $4 is probably a bit high for an average.

    So, for my particular airplane with my costs, its about 3.5 times the cost of fuel.

    However, if you want to add more realism, factor in the future cost of an engine rebuild. For my Lycoming TIO-540-AH1A the current average overhaul is about $75,000. With a published TBO of 2,000 hours, that's about $38/ flight hr bringing it to 4 times fuel costs.

    Beyond these simplistic numbers, calculating the ownership costs can get really complicated.

    I try hard not to think about this!

    (Check my math!)
     
  6. MooneyDriver78

    MooneyDriver78 En-Route

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    Not maintenance alone, but add insurance, hangar, etc then yes.
     
  7. Radar Contact

    Radar Contact Pattern Altitude

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    Seems about right to me.
     
  8. idahoflier

    idahoflier Cleared for Takeoff

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    That's not an easy question to answer without more context. When I read "the cost to operate/maintain a piston airplane" I'm going to exclude things like insurance, hangar/tiedown, etc. Also, you may choose to have upgrades installed. And, of course, does this figure include an engine reserve fund?

    If you're just looking at direct expense to operate/maintain my aircraft, C172N, my formula comes out around 1.5X the cost of fuel an hour...
     
  9. flyingron

    flyingron Administrator Management Council Member PoA Supporter

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    The rule of thumb for rental aircraft pricing was 4 x fuel cost. The problem with such "yardsticks" is that fuel price fluctuates. Hell, last week my first fuel stop was $3.85 and my second was $6.31. Which of those was I to use?
     
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  10. martym

    martym Pre-takeoff checklist

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    It's close to 2x for 2 place light planes, 2.5x for 4 place, and 3x for the heavier singles. People have used this for decades, I had to lol, now that Mike Busch has discovered it.
     
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  11. Ryan F.

    Ryan F. Cleared for Takeoff

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    I try not to look too closely at the bills. But yeah -- that does seem to be in the ballpark.
     
  12. asicer

    asicer Final Approach

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    On a Cherokee6? Ouch!
     
  13. Ray Jr

    Ray Jr Pre-takeoff checklist

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    I believe he called it "The old adage". He was thoughtful enough to write it down and make it available for me to hear it for the first time.
     
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  14. hindsight2020

    hindsight2020 Final Approach

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    It's a restart turbo six (6XT). Hull value, you know that thing most people on here dismiss as "the cheapest part of owning" just because they can rent the money for it. Insurance is the great equalizer these days. The high cost of low interest rates. I digress.
     
  15. JScarry

    JScarry Pre-takeoff checklist

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    It depends a lot on how many hours you fly each year since most costs associated with airplane ownership are fixed costs. From 2013 to 2018 a bunch of us flew my Cherokee. I spent $34,238 and we flew 680 hours or 136 hours per year. That averages $50 per hour when fuel costs were about $4.50 * 8 gph or $36. Cut the hours in half, which would be closer to what one person would do and the costs would be $100 per hour which fits in with the 3x fuel costs rule of thumb.

    On the other hand, I know people who are probably in the $600 per hour range.
     
  16. asicer

    asicer Final Approach

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    Well, it's still a Cherokee Six and $4200/yr insurance still stings. :)
     
  17. Clip4

    Clip4 Final Approach

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    Too many variables to make that claim.
     
  18. Stewartb

    Stewartb Final Approach

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    If 100 pilots did accurate accounting with rules of what counts and what doesn’t you’d have 100 different answers. If 100 guys say 3-1? You can bet they’re fudging the numbers and it’s higher than that. Pilots are famous for poor math.
     
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  19. Non Compos Mentis

    Non Compos Mentis Pre-takeoff checklist

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    Just fill up at the $3.85 rate before bringing it in for the annual inspection.
    That should keep the costs down.
     
  20. brcase

    brcase En-Route

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    It probably various a bit with location, Idaho I usually figured rental rates should be about 2x the fuel cost, but this is probably based on at least 300hrs per year usage. Newer/higher value airplanes may be a higher due to insurance and increase purchase cost.

    Brian
     
  21. chemgeek

    chemgeek En-Route

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    I was taught 4x fuel for a light single. Even that might not cover required engine reserves and avionics upgrades to maintain utility and improve safety. But it's a good place to start a back of the envelope estimate of ownership costs. The real cost is probably significantly different for a recreational VFR aircraft and an IFR equipped plane.
     
  22. dfw11411

    dfw11411 Pre-Flight

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    The guy who sold it to me (he had a lot more experience than I) was paying $2,450 annually, but had no clue about the increase he was about to experience in the insurance market. I had about 150 hours total flying time at the time and this was a high-performance engine with a constant speed prop. The fact that it has fixed gear probably kept it under $7k. I was just happy to get coverage!
     
  23. EdFred

    EdFred Taxi to Parking

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    Hard to fudge when you write 1 check for annual, 1 check for insurance, 1 check for hangar, and everything else goes on a card dedicated for the airplane. Which one am I going to fudge? I only have 4 items to add together.
     
  24. Salty

    Salty Touchdown! Greaser!

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    I think it makes sense to use the fuel cost at the location you do your maintenance. That would probably correlate well to maintenance costs.
     
  25. JOhnH

    JOhnH Touchdown! Greaser!

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    For me, the 3 times hourly fuel may be a little high. But as you point out, it depends on what all you include in "total cost". You factored in engine rebuild. How about periodic panel upgrades?

    Also, perhaps $4/hour is appropriate for you, but I rarely buy fuel for less than low $4s and often buy fuel much higher than that. I"d say my average fuel cost is more like $4.75 to $5. Adding a $/gallon to your calcs prings you fuel cost up to $80/hour or $24,000/year.

    So again, I think 3 time hourly fuel is high. But I'd rather overestimate cost than run out of money in November.
     
  26. Capt. Geoffrey Thorpe

    Capt. Geoffrey Thorpe Touchdown! Greaser! PoA Supporter

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    So burning auto fuel from the corner gas station is saving me money on maintenance?
     
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  27. JOhnH

    JOhnH Touchdown! Greaser!

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    No. Since it was just a rule of thumb, it makes you a sore thumb. ;)
     
  28. CA182R

    CA182R Pre-takeoff checklist

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    Upgrades are another factor. Often in the 5 digits, especially autopilots and navigators.
     
  29. MarkH

    MarkH Line Up and Wait

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    That's not a bad basis for planning, real world that can vary wildly. For example, that number would be low for my flying in the last year, but (assuming nothing else broke), would have been high for my planned flying. I planned to fly 100 hours last year, but I actually flew closer to 30 (2020 threw all of my plans out the window). Also, make sure you budget for a few grand extra that first year, even more if the plane you bought has not flew.
     
  30. eaglepilot

    eaglepilot Pre-takeoff checklist

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    This old adage is also used in independent long haul trucking. Your revenue mileage rate is 1/3 for fuel, 1/3 for maintenance and payments, 1/3 for the driver/owner.

    Interestingly, it also works for Lawyers, Accountants etc. Your revenue rate is 1/3 for rent, 1/3 for staff and supplies, 1/3 for the professional.
     
  31. flyingcheesehead

    flyingcheesehead Touchdown! Greaser!

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    Yep, that sounds about right.
     
  32. Lindberg

    Lindberg Final Approach

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    This is definitely accurate for some fuel prices.
     
  33. MD2105

    MD2105 Filing Flight Plan

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    It's probably somewhere between 2-3x fuel costs/hr for my Warrior which based on that math, it's true renting would be more cost effective than owning. But I'm sure many of you would agree that there are intangibles that make owning vs. renting worth it that you just can't spreadsheet. Being able to go where you want to go when you want without competing with students or other renters to be able to take the plane out of town makes it worth it. Flying locally for the proverbial $100 hamburger is fun, but there's nothing like taking your plane on a true cross-country trip over days or weeks. For example, @hindsight2020 shared some posts detailing the trip he took in his Arrow from Texas to Puerto Rico. Stuff like this is why I love GA.
     
  34. hindsight2020

    hindsight2020 Final Approach

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    Indeed. More to the point, there are no rental options available in my area where I could have taken an airplane of similar performance and do what I did for as long as I did it, let alone without incurring non-starter minimum day rental fees for such a bucket list trip. People always proffer the rental comparison, but in many of the locations I've lived in, that option is simply non-existent even if I were willing to avail myself to such an option. Thus I find the rental retort often rather specious; not everybody lives in the suburbs of dfw, atl, Socal or the like.
     
  35. MBDiagMan

    MBDiagMan En-Route

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    Man! This thread is depressing! It’s pulling my head out of the sand causing me to think about how much money I pour into aviation.
     
  36. Jim K

    Jim K En-Route PoA Supporter

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    To be fair, if one adds up everything they spend on owning & operating their car it's pretty shocking, especially if it's a nice car that depreciates. In our case the airplane reduces the annual mileage on our van by 1/3. Granted those miles are probably 2-3x more expensive, but there is some value there.

    I put my airplane into the transportation category of my budget. I'm probably going to spend ~20k on the airplane this year, but 5-6 of that will be "saved" elsewhere in car expenses and hotels. That includes mx, hangar, reserves, insurance, & fuel. I'm ignoring cost of money as I expect to sell this airplane for more than I paid for it.

    I'll be in the neighborhood of 4x fuel this year, but my insurance is astronomical due to my low time in retracts. I should be closer to 3 when I get to 110hrs in type.
     
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  37. steingar

    steingar Taxi to Parking

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    Dunno. I once totally everything I spent on the airplane one year. I assiduously vowed never to do such a thing again. I have no idea how much it costs to run my airplane. I don't want to know. If I knew I'd probably stop flying altogether.
     
  38. spdracer888

    spdracer888 Pre-takeoff checklist

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    I did the math once and quickly realized ignorance is a bliss...financially it makes little sense for us (I have a partner) to own. If we didn't have a 5 year warranty from the factory, I doubt 3x would be enough to cover the MX.
     
  39. RyanShort1

    RyanShort1 En-Route

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    Try dual insurance on a Luscombe... $3600/yr. If you only fly 100 hours, that's $36/hr.
     
  40. EdFred

    EdFred Taxi to Parking

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    Had I not started flying, I probably would have been retired by the time I was 40.