denverpilot
Tied Down
I also have these gems stashed away... (Our own David White... Grin... The long and edited versions...)
Did you see it? Watch her eyes--she never even once looked outside the cockpit. Heads down the whole time.
dtuuri
Unfortunately I fly a new Cirrus
Those are words I don't often see put together
Still, I think the important thing for any pilot is to learn the equipment they have. In many ways I feel like a duck out of water without steam gauges, but that's probably because all I've ever really logged time in are aircraft equipped with steam gauges!
That aside, a nice Cirrus with FIKI would sure be a nice setup, and though I haven't actually flown one, they look like very nice aircraft.
Alas, as is the case with much of the U.S. the well-to-do get new TAAs. Thus, the slow death of light airplane GA.
Don't see that?
What's having a glass panel of not have to do with a decline in GA, GA is just fine without glass panels, heck students are better off without them, instead of curling up and piddling themselves in the corner the people need to tell the FAA to get the pt 23 re write done.
Faster aircraft also tend to have more experienced pilots, yet they're more dangerous with glass despite the experience and despite the better information available to the pilots. This doesn't surprise me. I believe in the "keep it simple, stupid" (KISS) philosophy or, better yet, "keep it stupid simple".Faster aircraft tend to get into fatals more.
Faster aircraft also tend to have more experienced pilots, yet they're more dangerous with glass despite the experience and despite the better information available to the pilots. This doesn't surprise me. I believe in the "keep it simple, stupid" (KISS) philosophy or, better yet, "keep it stupid simple".
dtuuri
Perhaps I wasn't clear. IFR capable new light airplanes are very expensive. And, most of them now have glass, I believe. They are too expensive for most people and the glass is overwhelming for some who managed to get exposed to it.
It seems most of the light GA fleet is old. That can only go on for so long.
Faster aircraft have always been flown in the majority by more experienced pilots. Yet Bonanzas got the moniker "fork tailed doctor killer" far before the advent of glass.
The study as I understood it takes into consideration pilot experience and type aircraft and still concludes glass cockpits are twice as fatal as round dials. Maybe I read it wrong, . My skepticisms are based on human observation and talking with fellow pilots who've flown both professionally. The study fits (no pun intended).
dtuuri
Sorry, the fatality rate data is horse manoeoeoeur and the author of that article (not the NTSB study - the Avweb sphincter piece) was off base to claim that steam is intrinsically "safer", much less twice as safe, as steam.Because the study cohorts included only a few thousand aircraft, and the numbers of total and fatal accidents within the cohorts were relatively small each year, the 2006 and 2007 activity and accident data were summed for comparisons of accident rates and specific accident details to provide more stable rate estimates and to reduce the potentially distorting effect of small numbers of events on rate calculations. Even when using this approach, the standard errors associated with the fatal rates are high due to the relatively small number of total events.
The study as I understood it takes into consideration pilot experience and type aircraft and still concludes glass cockpits are twice as fatal as round dials. Maybe I read it wrong, . My skepticisms are based on human observation and talking with fellow pilots who've flown both professionally. The study fits (no pun intended).
dtuuri
I'm an Occam's razor kinda guy.
I can't reply to petrolero because the two red x's in the top of his post render about 1000 lines of data dump in the editor.
What I would have said is the article's author was just pasting from the NTSB report, so quibble with them. I'm satisfied they both did excellent work.
dtuuri
Am I reading you right that you're claiming a 2 sigma measurement invalidates a factor of two effect?
We'd all like 5-6 sigma in any measurement, but many discoveries are made at 2-3. It means, if you assume random and uncorrelated errors (big assumption), that the conclusion might be wrong 5% of the time. It's not an incredibly strong conclusion, but it clearly merits further study at 2 sigma.
Small sample statistics are not always ignorable. You definitely need to be much more careful, especially about systematics, but a sample of 10 is capable of resolving a factor of two effect based only on the counting statistics. True, it might really be a factor of 1.5 -- or 2.5 -- but it's somewhat unlikely to be below 1 or above 3.
Nope, red X.Does this work? I had trouble posting that image. I ended up importing and using the image link. I would rather have just pasted it, which seems to work below??
I determined Miller quoted the report accurately enough that all my references are to the actual report. You refer to "less than 10" fatals. From the report (my emphasis):Are we referring the the same article? I'm referring to the AvWeb piece by Jordan Miller. He did discuss some of the findings of the NTSB study in terms of the training problems with glass, but he got the top line statistic totally wrong. That "twice as safe" thing is based on a really bad fatality rate statistic with an error bar so large that it makes the stat meaningless.
It says less than 10 events.
No. That's not what I am saying. I'm saying that the categorical statement that "steam is twice as safe as glass" is horse****.
Glass is more safe than steam as the data above shows. Why would the author choose to give more credence to the statistis with the enormous error bars while discounting the one right next to it with the small error bars?
dtuuri and the author of that article are both focusing on one fairly poor statistic alone - fatality rate.
You can go through the paper and find their chi squared analysis of statistical significance. The NTSB says that it is statistically significant. Fine. But the claim of "twice as safe" is crap when you look at the totality of the evidence in the report.
You just have to put the plane on autopilot and spend the whole flight going through every function.
Significantly more. There is much more to a G1000 than a GPS. Though it's not a bad head start.Is a G1000 about the same learning curve as the Garmin 430 or more or less hours?
A 430 is a basic LNAV navigator. A 430W is a WAAS navigator. A G-1000 is a WAAS navigator and an aircraft systems monitor. Lots more stuff going on with a G-1000.Is a G1000 about the same learning curve as the Garmin 430 or more or less hours?
If you really want to know the G1000, it will take a few hours. There's a lot more than just flight plans and the direct to key.Is a G1000 about the same learning curve as the Garmin 430 or more or less hours?
If you really want to know the G1000, it will take a few hours. There's a lot more than just flight plans and the direct to key.
Yep I like to do a few ground lessons with the G1000 and I also give my students a computer sim. I also will do exercises in the air. A lot of times my students will get it o the ground but when put in the situation like loading the approach, changing map overlays, entering VNAV profiles, etc, they are hesitant. The G1000 and and GNS are similar IMO. The GTN series fixed everything wrong with the GNS and G1000. It's a very simple design.Not really.
If you can fly a GNS/GTN equipped plane with a six pack and a engine monitor, like a JPI, you can handle a G1000 just fine.
It's just like buying a new car, it's more or less the same thing as far as controls go, just some of those controls, door locks, gear selector, volume knob, well they are in different places and may have a different look, perhaps your climate control is now just a number for the temp vs the old red and blue.
A G1000 isn't really anything exotic or even new, just different places for the same stuff and a different place you look for the same values.
Over 80% of the G1000 can be learned with the quick reference manual, pilots manual, and plane, just sitting on the ground and pushing buttons, heck it doesn't even make the Hobbs meter tick!
Not really.
If you can fly a GNS/GTN equipped plane with a six pack and a engine monitor, like a JPI, you can handle a G1000 just fine.
It's just like buying a new car, it's more or less the same thing as far as controls go, just some of those controls, door locks, gear selector, volume knob, well they are in different places and may have a different look, perhaps your climate control is now just a number for the temp vs the old red and blue.
A G1000 isn't really anything exotic or even new, just different places for the same stuff and a different place you look for the same values.
Over 80% of the G1000 can be learned with the quick reference manual, pilots manual, and plane, just sitting on the ground and pushing buttons, heck it doesn't even make the Hobbs meter tick!
If it's not VNAV capable, it's not in the same ballpark.Plenty of non G1000 with APs with their own procedures too, even my stec has a few little gotchas.