@ArrowFlyer86 That KitPlanes article reads a lot like blame the pilot so we don’t have to consider the system.
Oh, I consider the system. My main goal when I started my accident analysis was to find cases where the aircraft was at fault. When I started, I had only one "Pilot Error" category. I quickly realized I needed some "flavors" in that, but, still, only ten of my ~55 or so cause categories cover stick-and-rudder mistakes by the pilot.
It's ironic that one of the reasons I started this project was to compare the competitors; Lancair vs. Glasair, Avid vs. Kitfox, etc.
I did the analysis for the article ArrowFlyer linked almost twenty years ago. Let me update it based on my 1999-2024 homebuilt accident database.
A few caveats before I start.
First, I'm dependent on the NTSB to identify the homebuilt aircraft type. If the investigator just puts down "Lancair", that doesn't tell us if it was an original Lancair 235 or a Lancair IV. I do my best to extract the exact model numbers, but sometimes I have only the base type. This can really bite on the RVs. The NTSB investigator writes down that it was an "RV-6" but the "landing gear" configuration is tricycle. It's actually an RV-6A, but the investigators may not understand the subtleties.
Looking over my database, I see the NTSB doesn't do too bad on the Lancairs....but there are a lot of just plain "Glasairs" in there.
BTW, I "normalize" the aircraft types. The NTSB report has "Make" and "Model" fields, I manually combine them to normalize the designation into a unique field that I call "Kennel Name". So if the NTSB says it was a "Smith Lancair IV," I enter "Lancair 4" in the Kennel Name field. Since I don't understand all aspects of all homebuilt models, some features may not get included.
(BTW, in my Kennel Names, the two seat Lancairs are listed as "Lancair2", plus whatever designation is available in the report. So don't have a cow if something says "Lancair2". I've normalized all the Lancair IVs into Lancair 4s.)
The second point is that I make a hard line between mechanical issues and pilot issues. If the pilot stalls during a normal approach, I flag the accident appropriately. But if the engine fails and the pilot stalls during the forced landing, I blame the engine...not the pilot. I do a separate procedure for these cases, which I'll discuss in a bit.
Third, my categories aren't the same as those used by other analysts. I don't have a "Loss of Control" category, though such cases are easily identified in my database. If the pilot stalls on a normal approach, I note the "Initiator" (my equivalent to "Probable Cause") as "Pilot Miscontrol", with a secondary initiator marking the stall. Each accident has only one Initiator, but may have several secondary factors (wind, etc.). "Pilot Miscontrol" refers to stick-and-rudder errors; I track judgment errors separately.
Finally, the causes listed in my database are based on *my* reading of the accident narrative...not just what the NTSB Probable Cause says. My causes sometimes differ from the NTSB's PC. The "stall during a forced landing" is one example; the NTSB may attribute the accident to the pilot's failure to maintain airspeed, while my analysis considers the cause whatever made the engine quit.
And yes, I've got over 5,000 entries in my homebuilt accident database, and I'm read each and every narrative to assign a cause. PLUS figure out the "Kennel Name" for each entry.
So, anyway: On to the analysis.
Only had a few Lancair Legacies in the original Kitplanes article. Quite a few since, it's a total of 32 accidents in the 1998-2024 timeframe.
Now, 32 accidents is normally below my reporting threshold. Normally, I want to see at least 50; that means that each accident is two percent or less of the total. With only 32 accidents, an accident more or less can cause a 6% change in the percentages. But, let's go for it right now.
The biggest category is Pilot Miscontrol. Here are the values:
Overall homebuilt fleet: 40.8% of all 5228 accidents
Lancair Legacy: 34.4% of 32 accidents
Glasair: 38.3% of 120 accidents.
Now, this may seem counterintuitive: The Lancair and the Glasair are "hot" aircraft...surely more of their accidents are due to Pilot Miscontrol!
Well, you're forgetting one factor. Pilot experience.
One of the old chestnuts about homebuilt accidents with hot aircraft is that they're all low-time pilots in over their head. Sure, it happens. But in the main, the pilots in these accidents are pretty experienced. This may be driven by realistic assessments by the builders themselves...or it may be due to insurance company requirements.
Here are the median total flight times for accident aircraft:
Overall homebuilt fleet: 1000 hours
Lancair Legacy: 1550 hours
Glasair: 1600 hours
The time-in-type is higher for those high performance homebuilts as well...just 60 hours overall, vs. 140 for the Lancair2 Legacy and 86 for the Glasairs.
So, overall the pilots lose control LESS than the overall homebuilt fleet, because they're more experienced.
How often a stall is part of that Pilot Miscontrol event? For the overall homebuilt fleet, this is true of 22% of their Pilot Miscontrol cases (again, with the engine fully operational, not a forced landing).
This is where the small sample size for the Lancair Legacy bites. Only 11 of its 32 accidents involved Pilot Miscontrol... and just three of those involved a stall. That's about 27%. But one more or one less case would have shot the value higher or lower than the overall case. Can't really compare the frequency of occurrence here. The Glasair comes out at 19%, but with three times the number of accidents, it's likely to be more accurate.
Now, that's based on accidents with fully-operational engines. What about cases where the engine is out?
I don't track that, precisely. But I do a keyword search of the Probable Cause, looking for mentions of stalls or airspeed control issues. This, I'm assuming, gathers in *all* stall events.
And it gets interesting.
Overall homebuilt fleet: 10.4%
Lancair Legacy: 18.8%
Glasair: 16.7%
Finally, I have an experimental report process in my accident database. I've attached summaries for the Glasair and the Lancair Legacy. The results for the overall fleet are included later in each report.
Ron Wanttaja