Autoland King Air 200 Due to Pilot Incapacitation Broomfield, CO 12/20/25

No, breathing ambient sea level air after being hypoxic for 30 minutes is not like breathing 100% oxygen in a pressure demand mask after being hypoxic for a few seconds. A scientist would not apply data from one scenario to a completely different scenario. Your assertions are utterly unscientific.
Worse. It was 45 minutes of exposure to 12,500' after 45 minutes of exposure to 10,000'. And performance was measured during the hypoxic condition and descent, not after.

And in the study, the occurrence of cruise procedural errors decreased with altitude. Even the authors' conclusions are somewhat weak and equivocal.
 
The author was not intended to address the use of the Scott 2000 occlusive mask at 18,000 or at 36,999. He was attemping to bring rationality to Sen Gary Hart whose position was oxygen should not be requried until 15,000.

But I challenge DMS pilot to show data (included in that, DOD data...btdt) to substantiate his position. And it'a a good bet that King air didn't have 37,000 Press. Alt equiptment for its crew. Safer to say that the issue is in doubt and the immediate functionality of the KA pilots cannot be ascertained.
 
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At 18,000 you have ~2.5 minutes' useable brain time. You really can't descend to <16,000 over that portion of the divide (which doesn't do you a lot of good, brainwise). And, if you descend to 14,000 you'd better be terrain smart, which is hard to imagine after that sort of hypoxic hit. The pilots and the automation clearly made GOOD choices.

I fly the KASE-BJC route (actualy to KFTG) with some regularity. If I lost Oxygen at 16-18,000 it would for sure be a TRUE emergency.

BZ to all.
B
Wait…..you stop by FTG aka CFO and don’t tell anyone? We are in dire need of a POA get together now that Mari, Clark and Mark moved, Mike stays in Texas, and Nate ain’t flying these days.
 
Eloquently put. My perspective is different and I will try to be succinct.

We employ new technological advances in order to make flying safer, more efficient (profitable), and other practical purposes. We also employ new technologies that can increase pilot skills and performance. By this, I do not mean the stick-and-rudder skills that I believe you are referring to, but the skills nessary to operate the machine in the current environment. This has been the trend for quite some time, and the effects show up in several successive generations of pilots. As much as I tend to be defensive about my (former) profession, I freely admit that a sobering number of airline pilots hired after the mid-1990s struggle to hand-fly without the aid of a flight director and FMC-generated guidance. However, I must also admit that the occurrence of accidents and serious incidents has never been lower. However we choose to measure piloting skill, these aviators are doing a great job of getting airplanes from A to B without crashing, which is what customers, airlines, stockholders, and government agencies, want.

But that's commercial aviation. For pilots such as you and I who cherish the "privilege of flight in a machine of one sort or another;" who value the stick-and-rudder skills that we were taught; who delight in guiding our craft through three-dimensional space with smothness and precision; who strive for perfection while humbly recognizing and respecting our limits; and who find personal meaning and fulfillment in all of this: for us the answer was never found in the machines of yesterday's sci-fi fantasy, but in the actual machines of yesterday themselves. A 747 was designed to transport a 100,000 lb payload 7000nm at 86% of the speed of sound, but a J-3 Cub was designed to fly.
How did you know I also fly a J-3 for fun (and to stay sharp)? ;)

That said, I had to think a bit on my response. I realized there are two separate kinds of flying that I'm referring to above; the raw stick and rudder flying of a J-3 for sure, but also the precision and sense of accomplishment that comes from successfully completing a complex IFR flight using a fast complex twin, in the soup, down to minimums with challenging weather en route (potential for icing, embedded TS, etc.), managing the automation in its various modes to offload work but still being very much the final decision maker in charge of the flight.

To some degree, I am less concerned about losing access to the J-3 kind of flying as I am about the other -- the J-3 will always fall under some kind of hobby exemption, as it's too slow and too light to really be considered any kind of danger to anyone on the ground, but access to a medium twin or larger is likely to go away over time, replaced by a machine handling all aspects of flight including all of the higher order decision making. And to be sure, this is not limited to aviation, it's happening in all skilled fields at breakneck speed. Oh brave new world, but I think I prefer the one we had just a couple years ago! :frown:

I never could understand "children of the flight director" either...I try to fly raw data approaches from time to time just to keep skills from decaying, and because it's fun to do when the workload is light enough (or when I really don't like how the AP is flying S-turns down the FAC...maybe that's what the S in S-tec stands for? :biggrin:).
 
Here's the relevant claim, that these pilots, who immediately got their masks on, may not have recovered from hypoxia by the time they landed:

"So by inference, with 30 minutes of flight remaining, from Red Table at 18K.....they might not have been recovered. The Exact interval at 18,000 has not been established."

The study applied to pilots who were breathing hypoxic air for thirty minutes. There's no dispute that these pilots were immediately breathing oxygen. Maybe there's other data that supports the claim, but not this study, which tells us nothing about pilots who breathe hypoxic air for only seconds.
I'll go with Dr. Bruce. He actually knows this stuff.
 
I'll go with Dr. Bruce. He actually knows this stuff.
Completely unnecessary to take his word and even more unnecessary to make an announcement of it, when you could read the paper and see for yourself that it does not support his claims.
 
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I'll go with Dr. Bruce. He actually knows this stuff.
Perhaps your appeal to authority was intended to be comedic. If not, a link to the study has been posted on the thread. It's all in plain English; you should be able to read it and draw your own conclusions.
 
I'll go with Dr. Bruce. He actually knows this stuff.
He doesn't know this stuff. He's got an impressive CV and it's inexplicable how he is relating an unpressurized study to a pressurization incident. He actually posted that a loss of O2 in his unpressurized Seneca would be an emergency. It would be but has no relevance to the thread. He claims he doesn't know what O2 system the KA pilots had but all who fly pressurized A/C know there would most likely be diluter demand masks to be donned in about 15 seconds. What transpired in the King Air for 45 seconds that allowed the Garmin system to take over? I would not blame the KA crew for delaying the descent to try to salvage cabin pressure and continue the mission. They had no pax at risk. It is also possible that they delayed because putting masks on and establishing coms can be a problem if you haven't been well trained in doing it. We have 2 allegations in the thread about hypoxia. They have not been substantiated.
 
What transpired in the King Air for 45 seconds that allowed the Garmin system to take over?
They didn't just sit there for 45 seconds, or at least there's no such indication from the ADS-B data. It's possible that they did nothing and kept climbing for 45 seconds and the Garmin initiated the descent, or it's possible that the pilots initiated the descent and the Garmin took over after 45 seconds. Once the CABIN PRESSURE message comes on, only one thing will keep the Emergency Descent Mode from activating, and that's a double-press on the A/P DISC.

Maybe the pilots didn't know that... Or maybe they made the decision to let the automation do its job given that they were unable to descend to non-O2 altitudes in that area. Unless there's an NTSB report, we may never know. BUT... There's certainly no smoking gun that says the pilots or the operator did anything wrong.
 
How did you know I also fly a J-3 for fun (and to stay sharp)?
Well, what a coincidence... of course I had no idea, but it stands to reason given what you posted.
...the precision and sense of accomplishment that comes from successfully completing a complex IFR flight using a fast complex twin, in the soup, down to minimums with challenging weather en route (potential for icing, embedded TS, etc.), managing the automation in its various modes to offload work but still being very much the final decision maker in charge of the flight.
I totally agree with you. As much as I like flying light aircraft, VFR, radios off, cavorting among the treetops and/or puffy cumulus, Mach 0.1 with my hair dancing in the slipstream of an open cockpit, I also enjoy the sense of reward and fulfillment that comes from a well-planned IFR flight, especially one that includes challenging weather, airspace, and procedures. And yes, I tended to hand-fly far more than my colleagues.
To some degree, I am less concerned about losing access to the J-3 kind of flying as I am about the other...
My biggest concern, as a GA pilot, is politics. Unfortunately, I can't share your optimistic perspective that your J-3 will always fall under an exemption of some kind.
...a machine handling all aspects of flight including all of the higher order decision making.
There's the rub. Will computers, as we now know them, ever be able to synthesize the way that the human brain does, such that the machine can successfully create a solution to an unprecedented set of circumstances that were not accounted for by the programmers? No. But then again, it's really about economics vs. probabilty, and I'm guessing that we will reach that threshold relatively soon. In the case of the King Air that landed itself, the autopilot responded to a set of conditions that the programmers assumed would correspond to pilot incapacitation. The decision was predetermined by the programmers. And it worked, this time.
I never could understand "children of the flight director" either...I try to fly raw data approaches from time to time just to keep skills from decaying, and because it's fun to do when the workload is light enough (or when I really don't like how the AP is flying S-turns down the FAC...maybe that's what the S in S-tec stands for? :biggrin:).
That's airmanship in action. I'm glad you and others have not given-up on it.
 
Perhaps your appeal to authority was intended to be comedic. If not, a link to the study has been posted on the thread. It's all in plain English; you should be able to read it and draw your own conclusions.

He doesn't know this stuff. He's got an impressive CV and it's inexplicable how he is relating an unpressurized study to a pressurization incident. He actually posted that a loss of O2 in his unpressurized Seneca would be an emergency. It would be but has no relevance to the thread. He claims he doesn't know what O2 system the KA pilots had but all who fly pressurized A/C know there would most likely be diluter demand masks to be donned in about 15 seconds. What transpired in the King Air for 45 seconds that allowed the Garmin system to take over? I would not blame the KA crew for delaying the descent to try to salvage cabin pressure and continue the mission. They had no pax at risk. It is also possible that they delayed because putting masks on and establishing coms can be a problem if you haven't been well trained in doing it. We have 2 allegations in the thread about hypoxia. They have not been substantiated.
It's not an appeal to authority. I read the linked study. Dr. Bruce has the right of it in my opinion, however that is far from my area of expertise. I'll take @Dr. Bruce's interpretation over some random dudes on the internet with no background in the area. Using a low partial pressure of oxygen as a proxy to actual low pressure is fine by me and makes sense chemically.
 
I read the linked study. that is far from my area of expertise. I'll take @Dr. Bruce's interpretation over some random dudes on the internet with no background in the area. Using a low partial pressure of oxygen as a proxy to actual low pressure is fine by me and makes sense chemically.
Your understanding of the study indicates a lack of understanding of it and it's relevance to the King Air occurrence. They did not use a low partial pressure as a proxy. They used a lower percentage mixture as a proxy for the four altitudes. We agree that is a proxy when you don't use an altitude chamber. While I am random I do have related background. A ride in the chamber a long time ago. Unpressurized flight to 250 with O2 (can't remember if we went 100%) with a bunch of spin recoveries on the way down. Airline training that allowed us to remove masks at 10. But Dr. Bruce is right about degradation at 12500 unpressurized. As I said, the colors become brighter when you put the mask on at 12000 plus or minus to land at La Paz. But he hasn't given us any study of forebrain insult in the 15 seconds of high altitude decompression before you are on O2 at 100% and if there was an insult whether 100% on the way down would clear it up by 10 or by the gate.
 
I find it interesting that no one has even implied that they tried to accomplish the procedure out of the supplement.
What is that procedure. If Garmin does the descent do you have to let it land also? I did ask this question in post #100: "I would expect an emergency descent would be self-initiated quicker but does King Air have some procedures and com changes that would keep them busy. And how would the system know you had already started the descent?"
 
They used a lower percentage mixture as a proxy for the four altitudes.
Yep- a lower partial pressure. Partial pressure is the pressure a single gas would exert if it occupied a gas mixture's entire volume alone, described by Dalton's Law of Partial Pressures. You should have learned this in high school chemistry.
 
Yep- a lower partial pressure. Partial pressure is the pressure a single gas would exert if it occupied a gas mixture's entire volume alone, described by Dalton's Law of Partial Pressures. You should have learned this in high school chemistry.
Without weighing in on anything else, I just want to point out that you can't just change the partial pressure of one gas without inadvertently changing the overall physiological effects of the remaining gases in the new mixture. Whether the resulting physiological effect is negligible or very significant depends on a bunch of factors that are not always fully understood, but as one example look at why Trimix is required at high overall gas pressures -- even though the partial pressure of oxygen is kept in the "normal" range, the other gasses (nitrogen) in standard air start to have deleterious effects without adding helium to the mix. Also, think about the partial pressure of e.g. CO2 -- in a true decompression situation, that goes down too (presumably aiding clearance of CO2 from the body?), but if we just reduce the oxygen mix at STP the CO2 (and N2) partial pressure remains the same.

Does any of that matter here? I'm very much not qualified to say, and I don't know if studies were done to determine any relevance or not. Only weighing in as a scientist that you can't just change one variable in one test and assume that conclusions drawn still hold when a bunch of other variables are also changed in another test.
 
Yep- a lower partial pressure. Partial pressure is the pressure a single gas would exert if it occupied a gas mixture's entire volume alone, described by Dalton's Law of Partial Pressures. You should have learned this in high school chemistry.
"Simulated Altitudes Various reduced oxygen breathing mixtures (Primary Standard purity, ± .05 %) were used to simulate the following altitudes:
• sea level (SL) = 21% oxygen, balance nitrogen (Grade E Compressed Air) • 8,000 ft. (2438 m) = 15.5% oxygen, balance nitro- gen • 10,000 ft. (3048 m) = 14.3% oxygen, balance nitrogen • 12,500 ft. (3810 m) = 13.0% oxygen, balance nitrogen. The use of premixed reduced oxygen breathing gas has been found to be an acceptable simulation of altitude (Baumgardner, Ernsting, Holden, and Storm, 1980; Baumgardner and Storm, 1980), and was the only method logistically possible in our flight simula-tion environment."
 
"Simulated Altitudes Various reduced oxygen breathing mixtures (Primary Standard purity, ± .05 %) were used to simulate the following altitudes:
• sea level (SL) = 21% oxygen, balance nitrogen (Grade E Compressed Air) • 8,000 ft. (2438 m) = 15.5% oxygen, balance nitro- gen • 10,000 ft. (3048 m) = 14.3% oxygen, balance nitrogen • 12,500 ft. (3810 m) = 13.0% oxygen, balance nitrogen. The use of premixed reduced oxygen breathing gas has been found to be an acceptable simulation of altitude (Baumgardner, Ernsting, Holden, and Storm, 1980; Baumgardner and Storm, 1980), and was the only method logistically possible in our flight simula-tion environment."
What's your point? They used a lower partial pressure as a proxy for a reduced actual pressure. As I mentioned, Dalton's law of partial pressures allows the substitution.
 
What's your point? They used a lower partial pressure as a proxy for a reduced actual pressure. As I mentioned, Dalton's law of partial pressures allows the substitution.
Yes reduced percentage results in lower partial pressure and is an acceptable method if you don't have an altitude chamber. But we digress. The Nesthus study has no relevance to the King Air occurrence.
 
The Nesthus study has no relevance to the King Air occurrence.
I don't have the background to fully assess that. However, neither do you.
This statement proves that you don't have the background:
They did not use a low partial pressure as a proxy. They used a lower percentage mixture as a proxy for the four altitudes.
A lower percentage mixture is a partial pressure. I note that you backtracked in your later posts and allowed that it is, but only after someone reminded you about Dalton's law.
 
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JimLAFB:
The Nesthus study has no relevance to the King Air occurrence.
Cap'n Jack, in reply:
I don't have the background to fully assess that. However, neither do you.
Roger Wilco: Having previously posted comments regarding the matter in #176 (and #196), I'm curious to know just what kind background would be necessary to "fully assess that." I might have to add a disclaimer to my earlier post.
 
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I don't have the background to fully assess that. However, neither do you.
This statement proves that you don't have the background:

A lower percentage mixture is a partial pressure. I note that you backtracked in your later posts and allowed that it is, but only after someone reminded you about Dalton's law.
Thanks for the reminder.
 
I don't have the background to fully assess that. However, neither do you.
I do. The necessary background is a thorough understanding of English and basic science. There was no test condition in that study that was remotely similar to what occurred here.
 
Sometimes things just seem too funny not to comment on. Every once in a while I'll talk with someone, or someone pops on this forum, and talks about how to fly an airplane even though they've never flown an airplane. It's usually pretty funny. But on this same forum it's not at all unusual for someone to argue engineering with an engineer, or about running a business when they've never run one, and I guess now brain function with a psychiatrist. And I'm sure, once in a while, the person speaking out of their field and experience is right. But the hubris is, to me, hilarious. It's a little bit like the guy on your favorite news station talking about science...they sound very authoritative. It goes back to the old joke "what's the difference between God and a pilot? God doesn't think he can fly an airplane."

Not meaning to be mean, just all strikes me as funny. Going back to my popcorn, and glad these guys got the plane on the ground. And yep, they got the plane on the ground, because they were in charge, and sure as **ll would have been blamed for the result if they didn't.
 
But on this same forum it's not at all unusual for someone to argue engineering with an engineer, or about running a business when they've never run one, and I guess now brain function with a psychiatrist.
Who here is a psychiatrist?
 
Sometimes things just seem too funny not to comment on. Every once in a while I'll talk with someone, or someone pops on this forum, and talks about how to fly an airplane even though they've never flown an airplane. It's usually pretty funny. But on this same forum it's not at all unusual for someone to argue engineering with an engineer, or about running a business when they've never run one, and I guess now brain function with a psychiatrist. And I'm sure, once in a while, the person speaking out of their field and experience is right. But the hubris is, to me, hilarious. It's a little bit like the guy on your favorite news station talking about science...they sound very authoritative. It goes back to the old joke "what's the difference between God and a pilot? God doesn't think he can fly an airplane."

Not meaning to be mean, just all strikes me as funny. Going back to my popcorn, and glad these guys got the plane on the ground. And yep, they got the plane on the ground, because they were in charge, and sure as **ll would have been blamed for the result if they didn't.
"and I guess now brain function with a psychiatrist"

Are you saying the AME has a valid argument for airline crews to remain 100% O2 until they reach the gate after a rapid depressurization based on the Nesthus paper?
 
"and I guess now brain function with a psychiatrist"

Are you saying the AME has a valid argument for airline crews to remain 100% O2 until they reach the gate after a rapid depressurization based on the Nesthus paper?
Nope! I'm saying that a layman discounting an argument about human performance in a reduced oxygen environment and their recovery by someone that earns their living based on their understanding of human physiology is, to me, humorous.
 
I find it interesting that no one has even implied that they tried to accomplish the procedure out of the supplement.
Which procedure are you referring to? The A/P DISC double-tap?

If Garmin does the descent do you have to let it land also?
No. In fact, the autoland system isn't enabled until after the EDM has leveled off. Then there's 0-15 seconds with a new CAS message (varies by manufacturer as they've all branded it differently) where the pilot is once again given an opportunity for the double-disconnect before the autoland is activated.

And how would the system know you had already started the descent?"
After reading the docs again, I don't think the system cares if you've initiated the descent. It only cares whether or not you double-pressed the autopilot disconnect. I believe that in this instance, the pilots did initiate the descent, but then let the system take over.
 
Sometimes things just seem too funny not to comment on. Every once in a while I'll talk with someone, or someone pops on this forum, and talks about how to fly an airplane even though they've never flown an airplane. It's usually pretty funny. But on this same forum it's not at all unusual for someone to argue engineering with an engineer, or about running a business when they've never run one, and I guess now brain function with a psychiatrist. And I'm sure, once in a while, the person speaking out of their field and experience is right. But the hubris is, to me, hilarious. It's a little bit like the guy on your favorite news station talking about science...they sound very authoritative. It goes back to the old joke "what's the difference between God and a pilot? God doesn't think he can fly an airplane."
Aviation puts a lot of type-a folks with a god complex in one room.

I'm talking about all the rest of you, of course. Personally, I'm just a normal person who flies. :rofl:
 
Nope! I'm saying that a layman discounting an argument about human performance in a reduced oxygen environment and their recovery by someone that earns their living based on their understanding of human physiology is, to me, humorous.

Conversely, accepting a patently false claim because it comes from an expert is fallacious.

 
Nope! I'm saying that a layman discounting an argument about human performance in a reduced oxygen environment and their recovery by someone that earns their living based on their understanding of human physiology is, to me, humorous.
Nothing humorous about intellectual dishonesty or ad hominem attacks.
 
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Sometimes things just seem too funny not to comment on. Every once in a while I'll talk with someone, or someone pops on this forum, and talks about how to fly an airplane even though they've never flown an airplane. It's usually pretty funny. But on this same forum it's not at all unusual for someone to argue engineering with an engineer, or about running a business when they've never run one, and I guess now brain function with a psychiatrist. And I'm sure, once in a while, the person speaking out of their field and experience is right. But the hubris is, to me, hilarious. It's a little bit like the guy on your favorite news station talking about science...they sound very authoritative. It goes back to the old joke "what's the difference between God and a pilot? God doesn't think he can fly an airplane."
Every forum has, among its collection of usual suspects, various experts, a couple of know-it-alls, and one Village Idiot. Here, I am The Idiot (but I do aspire to rise to the rank of Unwashed Layman). That's why I ask questions, such as "The purpose, methodology, procedures, findings, and conclusions published in Nesthus do not correlate to a real-world depressurization scenario...as that was not the purpose of the study. Are you certain that you meant to reference Nesthus, or could you be referring to a different study?" (#196). This was meant to expand the discussion so that the expert could enlighten me, as I was clearly missing something. Specifically, an answer to my question would have helped me to understand the arguments made, and perhaps have resolved some disagreement among other members. But as sometimes happens, my question went unanswered and nothing was learned. Oh, and I don't actually think I can fly an airplane, but I have fun trying, at least until the bills come in.

If you were to create a new thread about the hubris of laymen vs. the unassailable knowledge of experts, I might relate a true story about an old man, an expert, and a layman (spoiler alert: it ends badly).
And yep, they got the plane on the ground, because they were in charge, and sure as **ll would have been blamed for the result if they didn't.
Right on!
 
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The Cabin Decompression procedure (or whatever it’s called in that airplane.)
I've said several times that it appears that the crew immediately executed an emergency descent. :dunno:

Every forum has, among its collection of usual suspects, various experts, a couple of know-it-alls, and one Village Idiot.
Plus at least one person who has been all of the above depending on the day. (Hi, that's me.) :rofl:
 
Nope! I'm saying that a layman discounting an argument about human performance in a reduced oxygen environment and their recovery by someone that earns their living based on their understanding of human physiology is, to me, humorous.
What's not funny is us layman are recognizing not coherent posts in relationship to the King Air occurrence. Please read all of the posts. Dr. Chien has an impressive CV and it appears he has helped many in his role as an AME but I don't see his expertise in physiology of hypoxia. He does have a valid point about unpressurized flight below 15000 and the political influence on that rule but recalls the details of the Nesthus report in error. Few, except one I can remember, of his posts address a pressurized crew losing pressure and putting masks on. In that one post he does address and claims to not know if the KA crew had appropriate masks for losing pressure at 350 or 250 and so we don't know their status. I think we all know their status even if it took 45 seconds to get the mask on. I have no problem with the KA crew deciding to let Garmin do it. I have a slight problem with them not taking over to land after the ED was complete. I also have a problem with no coms from them. My problem might also be because they might, I emphasize might, not have been trained, not studied the systems on the bird they were flying.
 
I've said several times that it appears that the crew immediately executed an emergency descent. :dunno:
Unless they’ve changed it in the last 15 years, the King Air 200 AFM procedure for decompression includes an emergency descent, so I’m not sure how that’s evidence of, or even suggesting that, they followed the procedure in the Supplement.
 
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