brien23
Pattern Altitude
So many planes for sale, fewer and fewer pilots to buy them. 
Good, that means prices will go down. Supply and demand.
Good, that means prices will go down. Supply and demand.
So many planes for sale, fewer and fewer pilots to buy them.![]()

You pragmatists are such buzz kills! :wink2:Prices are already pretty much bottom of the barrel. You can get good ones from "unrealistic sellers" by paying "too much money", or you can buy a cheap one and fly it into the ground, or you can maintain, repair, and refurbish t and spend 75% more over 5 years than if you just bought the good one in the first place. This doesn't count for the downtime you can't fly because the extra time in the shop.
Prices are already pretty much bottom of the barrel. Any lower and they will just go to recycling rather than the bother of selling them. Then all that will be left is expensive planes again, with the majority of them being plastic based. Plastics are not permanent, they all oxidize and deteriorate. Aviation will not likely get any cheaper than it is right now, so for people who have been waiting, you may want to get something before they all go to hell. The good (cheap) ones are already gone. You can get good ones from "unrealistic sellers" by paying "too much money", or you can buy a cheap one and fly it into the ground, or you can maintain, repair, and refurbish t and spend 75% more over 5 years than if you just bought the good one in the first place. This doesn't count for the downtime you can't fly because the extra time in the shop.
I believe the bottom has not been reached and still has a way to go. As for twin engine aircraft, hopeless.
Not sure about that.
Around here the flight schools seem to be doing well, all the college flight programs I know of are filling classrooms, A&Ps are keeping busy.
Just bought my 185 less than a year ago, know a few people who recently bought planes too.
Overpriced generic 172s and PA28s etc will sit for sale.
Seems like the nice planes with sane prices, not fire sale prices or anything, seem to move.![]()
Case in point...a year and a half ago, we found the R182 we wanted. We put a realistic price on our 172, and it was gone in two days, with two more people with deposits ready, hoping the deal would fall thru. We judged the market, knew the airplane, and could document it. We knew it would go quickly, but were amazed at HOW quickly.
The grossly over-priced R182's we looked at back then are still on the market.
Jim
How do you define 'full price' in the used anything market?The only people paying full price for aircraft are the insurance companies.
How do you you figure it can go lower? You can't give your plane away.![]()
The problem with a lot of the fleet is they require avionics upgrades for IFR, and many have high time engines that need to be overhauled or replaced. For your average single engine with a Lyc, or Continental, and crappy panel you are looking at $50K - $60K in work for planes that are not worth that much on the market.
Remember, most of us are not A&P's, nor avionics guys so we pay FULL RETAIL.

EAB guys essentially bypassed this avionics mexican standoff and so there you see the RV pricing structure, which I consider inflated but there you go. For those of us who need that third/fourth seat, we're stuck in dying certified airplane limbo, unless you have 50K/yr all-in yearly budgets, then you're probably ok.![]()
How do you define 'full price' in the used anything market?
And the only 'full price' the insurance companies pay is the declared/insured hull value which may be more or less than the airplane is actually worth.
Airplanes aren't like houses where you have an appraiser come out and determine the replacement value ahead of time.
Yes, but not everyone does that and there is no requirement to insure it for what you paid.The price the seller sets. It is also typically the price they insure for since it's what they deem it is worth. I got paid $70k because that's what I insured it for, it was also my selling price.
The problem with a lot of the fleet is they require avionics upgrades for IFR, and many have high time engines that need to be overhauled or replaced. For your average single engine with a Lyc, or Continental, and crappy panel you are looking at $50K - $60K in work for planes that are not worth that much on the market.
Remember, most of us are not A&P's, nor avionics guys so we pay FULL RETAIL.
Yes, but not everyone does that and there is no requirement to insure it for what you paid.
No, but that is the natural tendency, and if you underinsured more than 20%, you may run into a co insurance clause.
Can you elaborate on the meaning of this? Thanks!