Sometimes the next war is a lot like the previous war though. What I did in OIF & OEF was very similar to what guys like
@Piperonca did 30+ years prior. Only difference was, he was in far greater danger than me and I couldn’t drink alcohol.
Look at the current conflict in Iran. That CSAR package (F-15E shot down) sent in was right out of the Vietnam playbook. Mostly manned aircraft with slow HH-60s working with A-10s and overhead fighter cover. That’s a pretty contested airspace for those types of aircraft to be operating in. Obviously the CIA used some pretty high tech methods to determine the Ltcol’s position but it was still tried and tested procedures on the aviation side. It’s gonna be a long time before you can have an unmanned CSAR / TRAP package that can be as flexible as a manned “eyes on” operation.
I’ve been reading a lot of posts on social media recently of our losses in Iran. Basically insinuating the op is a failure and some questioning the role of manned aircraft. Politics aside, roughly 81 aircraft lost and just over 20 KIA isn’t exactly a disaster. That would be a good month in Vietnam. Heck, just the Army alone lost over 5,000 helicopters in Vietnam, yet no one claimed the helicopter is dead. No way Vietnam could be fought without helicopters.
Now, I’ll be the first to admit that there will be future wars that will definitely be drone centric. At some point you’ll be able to do the same mission with the same probability of success with drones. We’re just not at that point yet and I’m not sure when we’ll get there. The war in Ukraine and even in Iran has shown the vulnerabilities of drones. Our highest loses in Iran are in the drone segment. Yes, no loss of life with that but I also question their impact (flexibility) vs manned. Currently, they’re a good supplement to manned but not a replacement by any means.