RotorAndWing
Final Approach
From the view of the guy who turns the wrench the only thing cheap in aviation is the pilots.
LOL!!! That's priceless!

From the view of the guy who turns the wrench the only thing cheap in aviation is the pilots.

The last, or should I say only, boom in GA manufacturing came in the late 60's early 70's when returning GI's could learn to fly on the GI Bill's dime. There have been a couple of half-hearted industry attempts at GA revitalization, but they've all been advertising and promotional efforts to no result.
Make it cheap to learn to fly, they will come. So will demand for aircraft. Otherwise we'll continue to limp along.

From my perspective I don't think GA is dying. I remember 15-20 years ago people were forecasting the death of GA because all the airplanes out there were old, or at least old designs. Then Cirrus came along with their new product. Now we have all kinds of new designs, not that all of them will succeed but it seems that people are trying. I'm amazed when I look at all the new and different airplanes and LSAs not to mention all the advanced avionics that are available to GA pilots now. GA and other industries are down right now but that is because of the general state of the economy. That too will pass, eventually.

One part you guys are missing about new aircraft production cost is the Product Liability Insurance each manufacture pays. It's staggering, but thanks to the United States and runaway lawsuits it's only increasing.

Interesting question...
As someone who lives (and tries to fly) in the Middle East, let me give you my own personal perspective.
1. Flying is expensive, but flying in Europe and in Israel is, without a doubt, much more expensive !
An antiquated c-172 can be rented for around $ 260.00/h (wet)...
2. Flying has become more restricted and more regulated - especially since the hysteria caused by the 9/11 attacks.
But flyers in America still enjoy a considerable degree of freedom.
Just for the sake of comparison, there is no such thing as VFR flying in Israel and you must file a flight plan for every flight.
All flying is performed along predefined corridors with specific bearings and altitude.
3. America is a huge (and beautiful) country. The choice of destinations for the adventurous GA pilot are almost endless.
In Israel, there's only a dozen airfields we can fly to...some of them are located in places that do not offer ANY interesting activities.
For example... a while ago, I flew to Eyn Yahav, a small airstrip in the Arava desert. After landing, there was no FBO to go to, nobody to talk to, no restaurant...we had to walk for 2 miles under a scorching sun in order to get some overpriced refreshments before flying back home.
We concluded that this flight was a useless trip from one ****hole to another...
4. Getting a license in America seems difficult ?
Try getting one in Israel. The average cost for a PPL is around $ 20,000.00 (!!!!) - and sometime even more !
There are no less than SEVEN written exams (passing score on some of them must be above 90%).
As you see, everything is relative...we can only dream to fly under the conditions you are used to and take for granted.
P.S. I am contemplating the possibility of doing all my flying in America and I am trying to convince some flying buddies to come along...![]()
As I recall the the certification costs for the first cirrus was on the order of 20 million and that was for a derivative of a already flying kit plane. it's not cheap.I think I posted this on the wrong forum, probably should have been flight following.
What does the FAA charge to certify a new airplane design? Perhaps it's the certification costs of the plane and all thats stuck in or on it that makes things so expensive.
Heck, a new Warrior is a couple hundred thousand, and that's just a four banger trainer. My Warrior is 31 years old with nothing but steam gages and I can barely afford that.
I think aviation is heading in the direction of being for the wealthy only. That is unless government gets it's way and taxes the wealthy into the middle class. Then, I think aviation will be mostly government or government employees that can actually take part. I guess that will get rid of the riff raff that you see around airports now, people much like myself.
John
How many man hours would you say goes into producing an airplane? Not counting engineering hours, just production.
Don't have that number, but it's incredibly high. During the tour the guide and I watched a guy building the inner structure of the baggage door on a drop press. It was a very intricate process that required a number of different steps, repositioning the mold and sandbags several times, opening and closing the cage and doing it all partly by feel and partly by dimension. I'd be willing to wager than no two parts are exactly identical. That piece isn't one that readily comes to mind as a major structural part of the airframe, but he worked on it for at least 10 minutes, maybe longer. At an auto plant it would have been done in less than a minute. They are truly built by hand.

Shalom. We asked if GA was dying in America. We understand that its already dead in other parts of the world.
As an aside, flying should be really, really cheap in Israel. Your country is only about 2 miles across. You should be able to go from one end to the other in about 10 minutes.

Hi Steingar
I believe the thread's title was "GA, is it dying a slow death?" ...
I didn't know the discussion was limited to GA in America - I also wasn't aware of the fact that GA was "already" dead elsewhere...
For your information, Israel's narrowest point is 9 miles across !![]()
So it should take less than 6 minutes to cross for a C-172...
A few points to keep in mind:
1. You can fly in circles endlessly...
2. You can fly from the Northern border to the Southern border...in such case you would have to fly 263 miles...(a huge distance by our standards).
3. You can fly to Cyprus or to the Greek Islands - provided you've got enough dough to finance such a trip.
Hi Steingar
SHOOT !...I didn't know that GA was "already" dead elsewhere...
For your information, Israel's narrowest point is 9 miles across !![]()
So it should take less than 6 minutes for a C-172 to cross the country...
A few points to keep in mind:
1. You can fly in circles endlessly...
2. You can fly from the Northern border to the Southern border...in such case you would have to fly 263 miles...(a huge distance by our standards).
3. You can fly to Cyprus or to the Greek Islands - provided you've got enough dough to finance such a trip.
ANd the local TV station is praying you will crash so they can intone on the 11 Oclock news, And he didn't file a flight plan."
denny-o
YES!
Let me discuss briefly why I think it is... It is not the money per se - though the current depression is not helping, GA was dieing well before that...
The first part is the strangling regulations, especially since 9/11, and the threat of being thrown in prison for merely crossing some invisible line in the sky... The second part is the barrier to entry... The third part is hostility by the mass media...
Go to the marina or the launch ramp on the weekend and see the families blasting off in $30K to $300K boats... The payments on those boats would buy a lot of flying, so it is not the money that is the only criteria... The point is that they can jump in the boat and go for the day or the weekend... They are not going to be arrested for crossing some invisible line... Dad did not have to spend a year and a half and $10,000 to get the license to operate the boat before the first trip and spend more money on recurrent training... Some reporter is not going to stick a camera in their face and intone gravely, "And now we will talk to some of those rich people who boat."
The only thing worse in the eyes of the media than being a pilot is being a physician...
So, that constant drum beat of pilots being nutcases who threaten everyone's life is a major factor in the demise of GA - society frowns on GA...
The regulations are so dense, arcane, and unreadable that it is simply not possible to start the engine without breaking them...
Leaving the ground is a gamble that you won't come to the attention of the Homeland Security folks...
The airplane costs a bloody fortune for every hour you fly it...
ANd the local TV station is praying you will crash so they can intone on the 11 Oclock news, And he didn't file a flight plan."
denny-o
The other point is that boating is something that can be enjoyed by the whole family in a way that flying usually can't. Sure it's enjoyable for the pilot, but maybe less interesting for the spouse and kids.Go to the marina or the launch ramp on the weekend and see the families blasting off in $30K to $300K boats... The payments on those boats would buy a lot of flying, so it is not the money that is the only criteria... The point is that they can jump in the boat and go for the day or the weekend...
That's a valid point, although it could be "mom".Dad did not have to spend a year and a half and $10,000 to get the license to operate the boat before the first trip and spend more money on recurrent training...
I don't believe that at all about the way the public views pilots or physicians. Politicians, lawyers, used car salesmen, yes. You could probably add investment bankers to that list these days too. I rarely have gotten a bad reaction when I have told people that I am a pilot. In fact right off hand I can't think of any.Some reporter is not going to stick a camera in their face and intone gravely, "And now we will talk to some of those rich people who boat."
The only thing worse in the eyes of the media than being a pilot is being a physician...
Absolutely true. I know on certain airframes that replacement parts need to be hand-trimmed to fit (unlike a car)... and in some cases the difference is pretty substantial.
Lots and lots of hours.
YES!
Let me discuss briefly why I think it is... It is not the money per se - though the current depression is not helping, GA was dieing well before that...
The first part is the strangling regulations, especially since 9/11, and the threat of being thrown in prison for merely crossing some invisible line in the sky... The second part is the barrier to entry... The third part is hostility by the mass media...
Go to the marina or the launch ramp on the weekend and see the families blasting off in $30K to $300K boats... The payments on those boats would buy a lot of flying, so it is not the money that is the only criteria... The point is that they can jump in the boat and go for the day or the weekend... They are not going to be arrested for crossing some invisible line... Dad did not have to spend a year and a half and $10,000 to get the license to operate the boat before the first trip and spend more money on recurrent training... Some reporter is not going to stick a camera in their face and intone gravely, "And now we will talk to some of those rich people who boat."
The only thing worse in the eyes of the media than being a pilot is being a physician...
So, that constant drum beat of pilots being nutcases who threaten everyone's life is a major factor in the demise of GA - society frowns on GA...
The regulations are so dense, arcane, and unreadable that it is simply not possible to start the engine without breaking them...
Leaving the ground is a gamble that you won't come to the attention of the Homeland Security folks...
The airplane costs a bloody fortune for every hour you fly it...
ANd the local TV station is praying you will crash so they can intone on the 11 Oclock news, And he didn't file a flight plan."
denny-o
How many man hours would you say goes into producing an airplane? Not counting engineering hours, just production.
- The boat dock is always the same distance from the house
- The boat can be used if it's a bit windy, a bit cloudy, or a bit stormy
- The boat's weight limit is somewhat flexible, as is the number of pax.
- The boat doesn't have to be reserved, it's always there.
- A higher percentage of wives will ride in boats.
- Many boats can be stored at home.
- No medical is required for 4-place boats.
- Boat accidents don't make front page news.
- Boats don't require checkouts or operating reviews every two years.
- Boats don't require annual inspections, have AD's and service bulletins.
- On most days you go boating, you can get back home without the risk of having to leave the boat at some marina three hours from home and finding an alternate ride back.
- Boat insurance is affordable, and the owner can immediately drive a bigger boat if he decides to buy one.
- Boat gas is about the same price as car gas.
- Boat captains can have a drink or two and still drive the boat.
I agree with what you've written except the insurance part. My boat insurance is much higher than my airplane. ( I live and dock my boat in Florida)
I'm sure that I don't know much about other people's hobbies such as scuba diving or skeet shooting so I wouldn't expect someone who is not interested in aviation to know much about the Hudson River corridor or Oshkosh. I also couldn't tell you what caused the last two train accidents although it seems like texting was involved. But that could be misinformation on my part too. I should also add that I don't know what caused the last two airline accidents, or even which ones you are referring to.I just had a chat with our cleaning woman at the lab about the Hudson river tragedy. She was unaware that there were hundreds of aircraft in that space that day. She was unaware that there hadn't been such a collision in that space in decades. She was flabbergasted when I told her the level of traffic I saw at Oshkosh. And she has no clue that the two most recent airline tragedies in the US were due to rank incompetence.
With the level of misinformation out there it's a wonder we're still around.
I agree with what you've written except the insurance part. My boat insurance is much higher than my airplane. ( I live and dock my boat in Florida)
I'm sure that I don't know much about other people's hobbies such as scuba diving or skeet shooting so I wouldn't expect someone who is not interested in aviation to know much about the Hudson River corridor or Oshkosh. I also couldn't tell you what caused the last two train accidents although it seems like texting was involved. But that could be misinformation on my part too. I should also add that I don't know what caused the last two airline accidents, or even which ones you are referring to.
Understood. I don't know anything about train safety, skeet shooting, or stamp collecting. I also have no opinion whatsoever about their safety or level of fun.
This person thought aircraft like ours were inherently dangerous, and used the Hudson river tragedy as proof. Most people with whom I have discussed the topic thought GA was extraordinarily dangerous. Their main source of information was obviously the media, which shows naught but airplane crashes. Again, if that is the level and context of information available to the public, it is amazing that there are any pilots at all.
I don't know why some people worry so much about what other people think of their hobbies. Bungee jumping and recreational skydiving are both seen as risky activities but they still attract participants. Riding a motorcycle is seen by a lot of people as risky but that sure hasn't slowed down sales.Again, if that is the level and context of information available to the public, it is amazing that there are any pilots at all.
Because those "other people" actively try to keep us from participating in our hobbies because of what they perceive to be dangers. I'm not aware of anyone attempting to preclude motorcycles from driving on public roads because they're "dangerous."I don't know why some people worry so much about what other people think of their hobbies. Bungee jumping and recreational skydiving are both seen as risky activities but they still attract participants. Riding a motorcycle is seen by a lot of people as risky but that sure hasn't slowed down sales.
Because those "other people" actively try to keep us from participating in our hobbies because of what they perceive to be dangers. I'm not aware of anyone attempting to preclude motorcycles from driving on public roads because they're "dangerous."
Just look in your local paper, writing letters to the editor about those "dangerous planes" out there. What, you want names and addresses?And who are these "other people"???

Just look in your local paper, writing letters to the editor about those "dangerous planes" out there. What, you want names and addresses?![]()
There are several online calculators to get the relative value of money. This page has a link to quite a few: http://projects.exeter.ac.uk/RDavies/arian/current/howmuch.html
According to the relative value of money calculator, $4500 in 1960 equals $32,000 in 2008.
The financial types on the board may correct this.