NA Feeling Lonely?

[Half Fast]

You will be after you read this:

https://arxiv.org/pdf/1806.02404.pdf


https://bigthink.com/stephen-johnson/are-we-the-only-intelligent-life-in-the-universe-updated-drake-equation-suggests-yes​

Revision to the Drake equation that includes uncertainty. Result is 39% to 85% probability that humans are the only intelligent (??) life in the entire observable universe.

 

[skier]

So, in other words, it could be a 50/50 chance?

 

[SoonerAviator]

So, in other words, it could be a 50/50 chance?

Lol kind of what I was thinking. You might as well say, "there may or may not be other 'intelligent' life in the universe". Good talk.

 

[Stingray Don]

It’s hard enough to find intelligent life on THIS planet!

 

[BigBadLou]

So, in other words, it could be a 50/50 chance?

Morelike 62/38 chance mathematically? Provided the degree chance within the range is actually a flat curve, not changing. In which case, I'd like to see that data.

But still, I'll take 38-85% over 0-100%. It means that we are positively much more precisely sure that we don't know.

 

[SoonerAviator]

Morelike 62/38 chance mathematically? Provided the degree chance within the range is actually a flat curve, not changing. In which case, I'd like to see that data.

But still, I'll take 38-85% over 0-100%. It means that we are positively much more precisely sure that we don't know.

Trying to squeeze that bell curve of uncertainty are we?

 

[Lachlan]

Trying to squeeze that bell curve of uncertainty are we?

It’s kind of like milking a bell cow and beating a dead horse all at once, though.

 

[Half Fast]

Trying to squeeze that bell curve of uncertainty are we?

Well, actually, he used uniform distributions, not Gaussian......